← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 28, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Dresden win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| VfL Osnabruck +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.54 |
| Under | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Marco Terrazzino · Dresden |
| 26' | 🟨 | Bryan Henning · VfL Osnabruck |
| 37' | 🟨 | Sebastian Klaas · VfL Osnabruck |
| 42' | 🟨 | Josef Hušbauer · Dresden |
| 59' | ⚽ | Patrick Schmidt · Dresden |
| 76' | ⚽ | Anas Ouahim · VfL Osnabruck |
| 79' | 🟨 | Niklas Kreuzer · Dresden |
| 80' | ⚽ | Niklas Schmidt · VfL Osnabruck |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ondřej Petrák · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion |
| coach days | 210.00 | 1001.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1388.29 | 1415.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.23 | 17.38 |
| eye test v1 | -1.05 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.52 |
| league points | 31.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.33 | 26.09 |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |