← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 28, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Fritz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Greuther Furth win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
| 14' | 🟨 | Marco Caligiuri · Greuther Furth |
| 21' | ⚽ | Dominik Kother · Karlsruhe |
| 61' | ⚽ (pen) | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 81' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marco Thiede · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mërgim Mavraj · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Babacar Guèye · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 513.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1471.35 | 1395.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.06 | 5.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.68 |
| league points | 44.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 27.81 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |