← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 28, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Pfeifer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.44 |
| Under | 33% | 2.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Charalambos Makridis · Regensburg |
| 24' | 🟨 | Malcolm Cacutalua · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 36' | 🟨 | Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 39' | 🟨 | Marcel Correia · Regensburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 45' | ⚽ | Pascal Testroet · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 50' | 🟨 | Dennis Kempe · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 64' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 81' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jacob Rasmussen · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 87' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Arena Regensburg |
| Philipp Zulechner · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 1093.00 | 332.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1464.07 | 1449.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.97 | -11.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.20 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 43.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.74 | -1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.86 | 27.57 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.81 | -1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |