← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 28, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Rohde
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Bochum win | 27% | 3.69 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Hannover −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.38 |
| Under | 30% | 3.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Jannes Horn · Hannover |
| 45' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 48' | 🟨 | Dominik Kaiser · Hannover |
| 83' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 240.00 | 301.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1519.45 | 1517.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.25 | 32.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 45.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.24 | 28.04 |
| state index | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |