← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 21, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 26% | 3.71 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| VfL Osnabruck −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Moritz Heyer · VfL Osnabruck |
| 24' | ⚽ | Bashkim Ajdini · VfL Osnabruck |
| 26' | 🟥 | Phil Neumann · Holstein Kiel |
| 50' | 🟨 | Dominik Schmidt · Holstein Kiel |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Lukas Gugganig · VfL Osnabruck |
| 75' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Ignjovski · Holstein Kiel |
| 78' | ⚽ (og) | Lukas Gugganig · Holstein Kiel |
| 86' | ⚽ | Etienne Amenyido · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 3 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 994.00 | 294.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1395.84 | 1488.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.06 | -20.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| league points | 36.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 2.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.17 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 25.82 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |