← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 21, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Brand
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Bielefeld win | 29% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Bielefeld −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Marcel Hartel · Bielefeld |
| 10' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 15' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
| 20' | ⚽ (og) | Christoph Kobald · Bielefeld |
| 24' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 69' | 🟨 | Anderson-Lenda Lucoqui · Bielefeld |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 141.00 | 568.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1390.67 | 1620.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.21 | 12.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.88 |
| league points | 33.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.48 | 27.10 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |