← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 21, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Regensburg win | 28% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Dimitrios Diamantakos · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 27' | ⚽ | Oliver Hein · Regensburg |
| 58' | 🟨 | Waldemar Sobota · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 62' | 🟨 | Leo Østigard · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Marvin Senger · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 447.00 | 1086.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1449.42 | 1462.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.24 | 11.62 |
| eye test v1 | -1.58 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| league points | 38.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | -1.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.00 | 27.29 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |