← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 21, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Nurnberg win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Nurnberg +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Silas · VfB Stuttgart |
| 26' | ⚽ | Atakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart |
| 27' | 🟨 | Philipp Förster · VfB Stuttgart |
| 41' | ⚽ | Sasa Kalajdzic · VfB Stuttgart |
| 50' | 🟨 | Christian Mathenia · Nurnberg |
| 52' | ⚽ | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
| 63' | ⚽ | Atakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart |
| 76' | ⚽ | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
| 89' | 🟨 | Johannes Geis · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 5 | Shots | 15 |
| 0 | On target | 9 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 20.00 | 203.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1458.47 | 1581.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.29 | 8.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.68 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.70 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| league points | 36.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 1.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 26.53 | 24.78 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | 0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |