← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Wed, Jun 17, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 40% | 2.48 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 32% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum +0 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Erzgebirge AUE +0 | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 21' | 🟨 | Philipp Riese · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 29' | ⚽ | Thomas Eisfeld · Bochum |
| 42' | ⚽ | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 58' | 🟨 | Jordi Osei-Tutu · Bochum |
| 73' | 🟨 | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 73' | 🟨 | Vitaly Janelt · Bochum |
| 83' | 🟨 | Louis Samson · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 86' | 🟨 | Louis Samson · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 86' | 🟥 | Louis Samson · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 87' | 🟥 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christoph Daferner · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 90' | ⚽ | Njegoš Kupusović · Erzgebirge AUE |
| coach days | 321.00 | 290.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1448.16 | 1510.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.47 | 33.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| league points | 41.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 4.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.83 | 27.04 |
| state index | -0.58 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |