← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Wed, Jun 17, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 36% | 2.76 |
| Karlsruhe win | 36% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Regensburg +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 42' | ⚽ | Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 47' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 61' | 🟨 | Dirk Carlson · Karlsruhe |
| 62' | ⚽ | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 65' | 🟨 | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 66' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 77' | ⚽ | Babacar Guèye · Karlsruhe |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Arena Regensburg |
| coach days | 1082.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1456.02 | 1397.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.04 | 13.86 |
| eye test v1 | -1.24 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.76 |
| league points | 39.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 4.23 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.58 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 28.59 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |