← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Wed, Jun 17, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.5 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 17' | ⚽ | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
| 59' | 🟨 | Luca Zander · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 61' | ⚽ | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 77' | 🟨 | Florent Muslija · Hannover |
| 80' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 229.00 | 443.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1517.64 | 1462.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.94 | -18.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| league points | 42.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 26.28 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |