← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Tue, Jun 16, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Greuther Furth win | 27% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Konstantin Kerschbaumer · Heidenheim |
| 22' | 🟨 | Mërgim Mavraj · Greuther Furth |
| 25' | 🟨 | Jonas Föhrenbach · Heidenheim |
| 34' | 🟨 | Niklas Dorsch · Heidenheim |
| 42' | 🟨 | Marco Meyerhofer · Greuther Furth |
| 64' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 66' | 🟨 | Robert Leipertz · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marnon Busch · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 24 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 501.00 | 4672.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1467.71 | 1545.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.15 | 18.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| league points | 42.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 3.23 | 3.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |