← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Jun 15, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Pfeifer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 62% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Dresden win | 15% | 6.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Bielefeld −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Jonathan Clauss · Bielefeld |
| 22' | 🟨 | Jonathan Clauss · Bielefeld |
| 56' | 🟨 | Kevin Ehlers · Dresden |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ondřej Petrák · Dresden |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Dresden |
| 62' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 65' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 78' | 🟨 | Brian Hamalainen · Dresden |
| 87' | ⚽ | Cebio Soukou · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 562.00 | 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.28 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1609.13 | 1389.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.22 | -14.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 47.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| league points | 58.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 3.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.98 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 26.58 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |