← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 14, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Karlsruhe win | 19% | 5.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart +0.75 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Karlsruhe +0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 34' | 🟨 | Manuel Stiefler · Karlsruhe |
| 35' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
| 54' | 🟨 | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 60' | 🟨 | Silas · VfB Stuttgart |
| 70' | 🟨 | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui · VfB Stuttgart |
| 72' | ⚽ | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Wataru Endo · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 134.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1383.55 | 1584.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.66 | -12.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 30.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 86.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 1.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.86 | 26.24 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |