← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 14, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Darmstadt win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 47' | ⚽ | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 58' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 61' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 62' | ⚽ | Fabian Schnellhardt · Darmstadt |
| 65' | 🟨 | Fabian Schnellhardt · Darmstadt |
| 71' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 499.00 | 226.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1502.07 | 1526.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.71 | 9.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 43.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 27.04 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |