← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Jun 13, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: B. Steinhaus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck win | 38% | 2.65 |
| Bochum win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +0 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Bochum +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.86 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
| 22' | ⚽ (og) | Lukas Gugganig · Bochum |
| 64' | 🟨 | Maurice Trapp · VfL Osnabruck |
| 68' | ⚽ | Manuel Wintzheimer · Bochum |
| 85' | 🟨 | Vasilis Lampropoulos · Bochum |
| 89' | 🟨 | Manuel Wintzheimer · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 986.00 | 286.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1403.60 | 1496.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.68 | 39.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.79 |
| league points | 35.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 27.16 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |