← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Jun 13, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Brych
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
| Regensburg win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Heidenheim −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · Heidenheim |
| 41' | 🟨 | Timo Beermann · Heidenheim |
| 52' | 🟨 | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 65' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 74' | 🟨 | Sebastian Nachreiner · Regensburg |
| 75' | ⚽ | Aaron Seydel · Regensburg |
| 81' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 83' | 🟨 | Maurice Multhaup · Heidenheim |
| 86' | ⚽ | Stefan Schimmer · Heidenheim |
| 88' | 🟨 | David Otto · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 4669.00 | 1078.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1534.51 | 1467.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.63 | 17.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| league points | 48.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -1.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.00 | 26.79 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |