← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Jun 13, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Greuther Furth win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Mikael Ishak · Nurnberg |
| 42' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 51' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Nurnberg |
| 53' | 🟨 | Enrico Valentini · Nurnberg |
| 56' | ⚽ | David Raum · Greuther Furth |
| 60' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 66' | 🟨 | Marco Caligiuri · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 12.00 | 498.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 3.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1447.60 | 1456.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.89 | -30.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.10 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 33.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | 1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 24.87 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |