← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Tue, Jun 9, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 40% | 2.47 |
| Dresden win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden +0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Hans Nunoo Sarpei · Greuther Furth |
| 5' | 🟨 | Linus Wahlqvist · Dresden |
| 48' | 🟨 | Marco Terrazzino · Dresden |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ondřej Petrák · Dresden |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion |
| coach days | 191.00 | 494.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1396.51 | 1456.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.05 | -28.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 27.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 3.23 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 26.23 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |