← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 7, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Welz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 65% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.65 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 14% | 7.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| VfB Stuttgart −1.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Castro · VfB Stuttgart |
| 42' | 🟨 | — · VfL Osnabruck |
| 57' | 🟨 | Clinton Mola · VfB Stuttgart |
| 59' | 🟨 | Maurice Trapp · VfL Osnabruck |
| 69' | 🟨 | Felix Agu · VfL Osnabruck |
| 76' | 🟨 | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz-Arena |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 189.00 | 980.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1590.40 | 1397.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.62 | -7.02 |
| eye test v1 | 1.11 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| league points | 51.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.47 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.40 | 25.75 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |