← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jun 7, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Heidenheim win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Heidenheim −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Timo Hübers · Hannover |
| 30' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 41' | ⚽ | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 49' | 🟨 | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 49' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 75' | ⚽ | Stefan Schimmer · Heidenheim |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jannes Horn · Hannover |
| 77' | 🟨 | Phillipp Ochs · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 219.00 | 4663.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1517.60 | 1543.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.00 | 3.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| league points | 39.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 26.97 |
| state index | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |