← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Jun 6, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: R. Rohde
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Nurnberg win | 26% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 37' | 🟨 | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 39' | 🟨 | Cebio Soukou · Bielefeld |
| 41' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Nurnberg |
| 43' | ⚽ | Patrick Erras · Nurnberg |
| 47' | 🟨 | Cedric Brunner · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 553.00 | 5.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1617.41 | 1441.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.44 | -25.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.58 |
| league points | 56.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.82 | 25.87 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |