← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Jun 6, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Darmstadt win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.71 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Marcel Correia · Regensburg |
| 33' | 🟨 | Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 36' | 🟨 | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 42' | 🟨 | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 51' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · Darmstadt |
| 52' | ⚽ | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 57' | 🟨 | Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 57' | 🟥 | Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 77' | ⚽ | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 85' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 22 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Arena Regensburg |
| coach days | 1071.00 | 491.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 3.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1449.35 | 1520.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.70 | 6.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 36.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.32 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.37 | 26.90 |
| state index | -0.71 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |