← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Wed, Jun 3, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Gräfe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 59% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.07 |
| Dresden win | 17% | 5.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Dresden −0.75 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 17' | ⚽ | John Guidetti · Hannover |
| 45' | ⚽ | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 62' | 🟨 | Patrick Ebert · Dresden |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 215.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1508.21 | 1394.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.28 | 7.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.93 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| league points | 36.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 4.23 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.19 | 27.10 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |