← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, May 30, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 30% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Bielefeld +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Jonathan Clauss · Bielefeld |
| 42' | 🟨 | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
| 51' | ⚽ | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sven Schipplock · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sven Schipplock · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 272.00 | 546.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1500.11 | 1608.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.03 | 3.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.96 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| league points | 38.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 2.77 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |