← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Wed, May 27, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Heidenheim win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Heidenheim +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Ryo Miyaichi · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 47' | 🟨 | Luis Coordes · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 50' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 66' | 🟨 | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
| 68' | 🟨 | Johannes Flum · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 76' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 422.00 | 4652.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1465.66 | 1532.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.49 | -10.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.61 |
| league points | 33.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 4.23 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 27.44 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |