← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Wed, May 27, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 |
| Karlsruhe win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hannover −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 47' | ⚽ | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 69' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 89' | 🟨 | Timo Hübers · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 208.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1529.58 | 1384.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.79 | 25.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 35.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 4.23 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.34 | 28.81 |
| state index | 0.64 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.03 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |