← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Tue, May 26, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Darmstadt win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Darmstadt +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Florian Krüger · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 13' | 🟨 | Jacob Rasmussen · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 39' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Darmstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 55' | 🟨 | Dennis Kempe · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jan Hochscheidt · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 72' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 81' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 13 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 299.00 | 480.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 3.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1477.33 | 1507.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.60 | 18.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 38.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.64 | 27.64 |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |