← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Tue, May 26, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Regensburg win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Nurnberg +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Mikael Ishak · Nurnberg |
| 44' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 48' | ⚽ | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 65' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 74' | 🟨 | Konstantinos Mavropanos · Nurnberg |
| 75' | 🟨 | Oliver Sorg · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julian-Maurice Derstroff · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adam Zreľák · Nurnberg |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Tim Knipping · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Arena Regensburg |
| coach days | 1060.00 | 207.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1451.12 | 1440.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.48 | -28.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.66 |
| league points | 34.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 3.23 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 25.00 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |