← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, May 24, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Welz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 38% | 2.65 |
| Bochum win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bochum +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
| 32' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 72' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marco Đuričin · Karlsruhe |
| 84' | 🟨 | Sebastian Maier · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 113.00 | 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 1.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1383.52 | 1476.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.19 | 22.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| league points | 27.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.22 | 28.09 |
| state index | -0.08 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |