← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, May 23, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: S. Jablonski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 41% | 2.37 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hannover +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ (pen) | Assan Ceesay · VfL Osnabruck |
| 11' | ⚽ (og) | Joost van Aken · Hannover |
| 24' | 🟨 | Moritz Heyer · VfL Osnabruck |
| 45' | 🟨 | Assan Ceesay · VfL Osnabruck |
| 47' | ⚽ | Etienne Amenyido · VfL Osnabruck |
| 65' | 🟨 | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 69' | 🟨 | Timo Hübers · Hannover |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 80' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marc Heider · VfL Osnabruck |
| 85' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 965.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 3.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1387.81 | 1517.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.61 | 47.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| league points | 30.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 26.27 |
| state index | -1.04 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |