β 2. Bundesliga 2019 Β· Sat, May 23, 11:00 AM UTC Β· ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Regensburg win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg β0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| SV Sandhausen β0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | π¨ | Oliver Hein Β· Regensburg |
| 22' | π¨ | Max Besuschkow Β· Regensburg |
| 45' | π¨ | Tim Knipping Β· Regensburg |
| 53' | π¨ | Emanuel Taffertshofer Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 74' | π¨ | Denis Linsmayer Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 76' | π¨ | Tim Kister Β· SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| coach days | 600.00 | 1057.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1429.47 | 1449.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.61 | -21.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| league points | 29.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.73 | 27.46 |
| state index | -0.94 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |