← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, May 17, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.11 |
| SV Wehen win | 17% | 5.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen +1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| VfB Stuttgart +1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Benedikt Röcker · SV Wehen |
| 37' | 🟨 | Sascha Mockenhaupt · SV Wehen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Silas · VfB Stuttgart |
| 50' | ⚽ | Manuel Schäffler · SV Wehen |
| 83' | ⚽ | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Phillip Tietz · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 21 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 1201.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1398.20 | 1596.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.96 | 4.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 25.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.60 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.51 | 1.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 27.84 | 26.51 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.37 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |