← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, May 17, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.81 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| VfL Osnabruck −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 20' | 🟨 | Cedric Brunner · Bielefeld |
| 32' | 🟨 | Reinhold Yabo · Bielefeld |
| 88' | 🟨 | Cebio Soukou · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marcos Álvarez · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 533.00 | 959.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1615.35 | 1380.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.67 | -45.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.74 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| league points | 51.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.04 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.48 | 26.57 |
| state index | 1.23 | -1.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |