← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, May 17, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.64 |
| Greuther Furth win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Greuther Furth +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Jairo Samperio · Hamburger SV |
| 26' | 🟨 | Jordan Beyer · Hamburger SV |
| 35' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Greuther Furth |
| 41' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Hamburger SV |
| 48' | ⚽ | Jeremy Dudziak · Hamburger SV |
| 64' | 🟨 | Timo Letschert · Hamburger SV |
| 74' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jamie Leweling · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 471.00 | 382.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.73 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1486.44 | 1560.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.21 | -35.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| league points | 36.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 63.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.76 | 25.99 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |