← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, May 16, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 35% | 2.92 |
| Karlsruhe win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Darmstadt +0 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 55' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 66' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 73' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 85' | 🟨 | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 105.00 | 470.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 3.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1364.89 | 1510.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.85 | 40.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.79 |
| league points | 24.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 26.75 |
| state index | -0.63 | 0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |