← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, May 16, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 35% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Erzgebirge AUE +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.72 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟥 | Dennis Diekmeier · SV Sandhausen |
| 5' | ⚽ (pen) | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 23' | 🟨 | Emanuel Taffertshofer · SV Sandhausen |
| 27' | 🟨 | Martin Fraisl · SV Sandhausen |
| 43' | 🟨 | Florian Krüger · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 47' | 🟨 | Robin Scheu · SV Sandhausen |
| 64' | ⚽ | Florian Krüger · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 69' | ⚽ | Malcolm Cacutalua · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 80' | ⚽ | Julius Biada · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 289.00 | 593.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1465.20 | 1440.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.04 | -38.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.61 |
| league points | 34.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.11 | 28.52 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.39 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |