← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, May 16, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 37% | 2.68 |
| Bochum win | 34% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim +0 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Bochum +0 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 34' | ⚽ | Jordi Osei-Tutu · Bochum |
| 39' | 🟨 | Vasilis Lampropoulos · Bochum |
| 55' | 🟨 | Maxim Leitsch · Bochum |
| 62' | 🟨 | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 64' | ⚽ | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 85' | 🟨 | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 258.00 | 4641.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1457.61 | 1546.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.99 | 8.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| league points | 28.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.70 | 27.66 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -1.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |