← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Mar 9, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Dankert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Bielefeld win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| VfB Stuttgart −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
| 33' | 🟨 | Orel Mangala · VfB Stuttgart |
| 53' | ⚽ | Mario Gómez · VfB Stuttgart |
| 76' | ⚽ | Cebio Soukou · Bielefeld |
| 86' | 🟨 | Amos Pieper · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz-Arena |
| coach days | 99.00 | 464.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.54 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1598.02 | 1614.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.83 | 32.01 |
| eye test v1 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 64.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| league points | 44.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 9.31 | 8.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.48 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 26.41 |
| state index | 0.71 | 1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |