← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Mar 8, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Rohde
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 39% | 2.47 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 31% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| SV Sandhausen −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · SV Sandhausen |
| 28' | ⚽ | Viktor Gyökeres · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 42' | 🟨 | Kevin Behrens · SV Sandhausen |
| 44' | 🟨 | Matt Penney · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Kevin Behrens · SV Sandhausen |
| 63' | ⚽ | Robin Scheu · SV Sandhausen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Leo Østigard · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 78' | ⚽ | Dimitrios Diamantakos · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 524.00 | 342.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1441.75 | 1472.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -52.14 | 26.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| league points | 28.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.70 | 27.49 |
| state index | -0.94 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |