← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Mar 7, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Karlsruhe win | 24% | 4.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Heidenheim −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Konstantin Kerschbaumer · Heidenheim |
| 37' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 45' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 54' | ⚽ | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 79' | 🟨 | Niklas Dorsch · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟥 | Anis Ben-Hatira · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 4571.00 | 35.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1539.79 | 1371.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.86 | -5.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.64 |
| league points | 38.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 27.14 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |