← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Mar 6, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Schmidt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Hannover win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hannover +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Timo Hübers · Hannover |
| 27' | ⚽ | Linton Maina · Hannover |
| 54' | 🟨 | Fabian Schleusener · Nurnberg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 126.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 3.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1467.44 | 1498.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.88 | 24.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.75 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.28 | 26.34 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |