← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Mar 2, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 29% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | John Guidetti · Hannover |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jae-sung Lee · Holstein Kiel |
| 80' | ⚽ | Phillipp Ochs · Hannover |
| 86' | 🟨 | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 2 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 122.00 | 183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1484.93 | 1514.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.96 | 15.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| league points | 26.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 8.29 | 9.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |