← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Feb 29, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 58% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.05 |
| Greuther Furth win | 18% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +1 | 54% | 1.81 |
| VfB Stuttgart +1 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Castro · VfB Stuttgart |
| 47' | 🟨 | Pascal Stenzel · VfB Stuttgart |
| 48' | ⚽ | Marco Caligiuri · Greuther Furth |
| 50' | 🟨 | Maximilian Bauer · Greuther Furth |
| 68' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 76' | ⚽ | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 79' | 🟨 | Paul Jaeckel · Greuther Furth |
| 89' | 🟨 | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maximilian Sauer · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 393.00 | 90.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.84 | 3.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1465.42 | 1616.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.56 | 34.94 |
| eye test v1 | 1.04 | 0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 32.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | 1.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.70 | 25.04 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |