← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Feb 23, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Hannover win | 23% | 4.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hannover −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 53' | 🟨 | John Guidetti · Hannover |
| 61' | 🟨 | Florian Hartherz · Bielefeld |
| 83' | ⚽ | Reinhold Yabo · Bielefeld |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jannes Horn · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Reinhold Yabo · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 449.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1605.63 | 1490.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.39 | 9.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| league points | 44.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 26.94 |
| state index | 0.85 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |