← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Feb 23, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Karlsruhe win | 26% | 3.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| SV Sandhausen −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 15' | 🟨 | Rúrik Gíslason · SV Sandhausen |
| 22' | ⚽ | Anis Ben-Hatira · Karlsruhe |
| 62' | 🟨 | Dirk Carlson · Karlsruhe |
| 64' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · SV Sandhausen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Martin Fraisl · SV Sandhausen |
| 67' | 🟨 | Manuel Stiefler · Karlsruhe |
| 82' | 🟨 | Alexander Groiss · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aziz Bouhaddouz · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.10 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| coach days | 510.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1461.09 | 1359.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.08 | -38.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.85 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.59 |
| league points | 27.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.94 | 28.42 |
| state index | -0.34 | -1.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |