← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Feb 22, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Bochum win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Bochum +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | 🟨 | Maxim Leitsch · Bochum |
| 65' | ⚽ | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 70' | ⚽ | Jannis Nikolaou · Dresden |
| 90' | ⚽ | Vitaly Janelt · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion |
| coach days | 83.00 | 174.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1389.55 | 1446.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.17 | -29.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.77 |
| league points | 18.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 4.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.94 | 28.51 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |