← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Feb 22, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 69% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| Regensburg win | 12% | 8.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart −1.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Regensburg −1.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.48 |
| Under | 35% | 2.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Silas Wamangituka · VfB Stuttgart |
| 42' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 49' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Castro · VfB Stuttgart |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 57' | 🟨 | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 58' | ⚽ | Daniel Didavi · VfB Stuttgart |
| 59' | ⚽ | Gonzalo Castro · VfB Stuttgart |
| 77' | 🟨 | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz-Arena |
| coach days | 83.00 | 966.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1609.41 | 1477.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.26 | -5.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.80 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 41.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 63.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 4.69 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.43 | -1.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.34 | 27.20 |
| state index | 0.98 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | -1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |