← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Feb 16, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 29% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 27' | 🟨 | Niklas Schmidt · VfL Osnabruck |
| 29' | 🟥 | Assan Ceesay · VfL Osnabruck |
| 45' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 56' | 🟨 | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 81' | 🟨 | Burak Camoglu · Karlsruhe |
| 81' | 🟨 | Lukas Gugganig · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lukas Grozurek · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marcos Álvarez · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 15.00 | 868.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1359.33 | 1415.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -57.93 | -19.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.73 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.78 |
| league points | 20.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.21 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 26.01 |
| state index | -1.44 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.10 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |