← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Feb 15, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Greuther Furth win | 28% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Cedric Brunner · Bielefeld |
| 35' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | Cebio Soukou · Bielefeld |
| 73' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Greuther Furth |
| 77' | ⚽ (og) | Paul Jaeckel · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kenny Prince Redondo · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 379.00 | 441.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.88 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1478.95 | 1592.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.20 | -2.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.95 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 2.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| league points | 31.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.21 | 26.81 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |